The African Democratic Congress (ADC) is grappling with internal tensions over selecting a single presidential candidate for the 2027 election, despite a recent Supreme Court ruling that cleared the party to remain on the ballot.
The decision has exposed divisions within the party, with multiple high-profile aspirants and competing interests threatening to complicate the process. Legal disputes and internal disagreements over new entrants into the party have further heightened tensions.
Among those linked to the race are former Anambra State governor Peter Obi, former vice president Atiku Abubakar, ex-Kano governor Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, former Rivers State governor Rotimi Amaechi, and Mohammed Hayyatu-Deen. Each commands a loyal support base and believes he can secure victory.
Party insiders warn that a contentious primary could trigger defections, a pattern that has historically weakened opposition alliances in Nigeria. Tight timelines set by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), including a May 10 deadline for party membership registers, add urgency to the process.
Behind the scenes, two major blocs have emerged. One favours a joint ticket involving Obi and Kwankwaso, while another backs a combination of Atiku with either Seyi Makinde or Amaechi. Makinde, currently a member of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), has yet to defect to the ADC.
At a recent meeting in Ibadan, attended by key figures including Obi, Atiku, Amaechi, and David Mark, party leaders pledged to present a unified candidate to challenge President Bola Tinubu. However, consensus remains elusive.
Analysts say Obi retains strong support among urban youths and in the South-East but needs broader national reach. Atiku brings experience and extensive networks, though concerns persist over voter fatigue. Kwankwaso maintains a solid base in Kano but has limited national spread, while Amaechi is seen as experienced but lacking widespread grassroots appeal.
Some party members suggest a compromise candidate could emerge if leading contenders fail to agree, reflecting ongoing negotiations within the coalition.
The ADC’s growing coalition—drawing members from the PDP, APC, Labour Party, and smaller groups—has expanded its reach but also deepened internal mistrust. Observers note that ongoing crises across opposition parties, including leadership disputes in the PDP and Labour Party, may ultimately benefit the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).
Amid uncertainty, some aspirants are reportedly exploring alternative platforms such as the People’s Redemption Party and the National Democratic Congress, reflecting concerns about the ADC’s stability ahead of the election.
While the party has secured an initial legal victory, its ability to unite behind a single candidate remains a critical test as the 2027 election approaches.
